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Vitamin D: Does It Actually Work?

🔬 Meta-analysis verified

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? MAYBE

Good evidence for immune function. Mixed results for bones, depression, and muscle. Benefits mostly show up in people who are already deficient.

Confidence
62/100
🔬 Meta-analysis verified
?

Strengthens bones and prevents fractures

g = 0.97 [0.93, 1.02] 81 studies · 53537 people
Grade B

Boosts immune function

g = 0.92 [0.86, 0.99] 43 studies · 48488 people
Grade A
?

Reduces depression

g = -0.28 [-0.53, -0.03] 25 studies · 7534 people
Grade B

Improves muscle strength

g = 0.17 [-0.03, 0.37] 13 studies · 2205 people
Grade C

What Is Vitamin D?

Vitamin D is a fat-soluble vitamin your body makes when sunlight hits your skin. It’s also found in fatty fish, egg yolks, and fortified foods. But most people don’t get enough from food and sun alone.

About 42% of American adults are deficient. That number jumps higher if you have dark skin, live far from the equator, or spend most of your time indoors.

You’ll see vitamin D marketed for everything from bone health to cancer prevention to muscle growth. Some of those claims hold up. Most depend heavily on whether you’re deficient or not.

We analyzed 4 major meta-analyses and systematic reviews covering 162 individual studies. Here’s what the data actually shows.

The Evidence, Claim by Claim

The sections below break down each claim with real numbers from published meta-analyses. Every effect size, confidence interval, and study count comes from peer-reviewed research.

Bones and Fractures: Not What You’d Expect

This is the claim everyone assumes is settled. It isn’t.

Bolland et al. reviewed 81 randomized controlled trials with over 53,000 people. Vitamin D supplementation alone didn’t significantly reduce fractures (RR = 0.97). It didn’t reduce falls either.

There’s a catch. When you combine vitamin D with calcium, elderly people do see a small reduction in hip fractures. And high-dose bolus vitamin D (one mega-dose per year) actually increased falls and fractures in one major trial.

The takeaway: vitamin D alone won’t protect your bones if your levels are already normal. If you’re deficient and elderly, it might help, especially with calcium.

Immune Function: The Strongest Claim

This is where vitamin D shines. Jolliffe and Martineau ran an individual participant data meta-analysis. That’s the gold standard. They pooled data from 43 trials and nearly 49,000 people.

The results: vitamin D reduced acute respiratory infections by about 8% overall (OR = 0.92). But the real story is in the subgroups.

People with very low vitamin D (under 25 nmol/L) saw a 37% reduction in infections. Daily dosing worked. Monthly or yearly bolus dosing didn’t work at all.

If you’re deficient, daily vitamin D is one of the most evidence-backed ways to support your immune system.

Depression: Small But Real

Cheng et al. pooled 25 studies with about 7,500 people. They found vitamin D modestly reduced depression scores (SMD = -0.28). That’s a small effect.

It got bigger in two groups: people with clinical depression and people who were vitamin D deficient. The prediction interval crosses zero, meaning not every study agrees.

Don’t count on vitamin D to fix depression. But if you’re deficient and struggling with low mood, correcting it might help as part of a larger treatment plan.

Muscle Strength: Probably Not

Tomlinson et al. looked at 13 studies with about 2,200 people. The pooled effect wasn’t significant (SMD = 0.17, p = 0.09). The confidence interval crossed zero.

The only positive signals came from severely deficient elderly people. If your vitamin D levels are normal, supplementing won’t make you stronger.

This claim doesn’t hold up for the general population.

D3 vs D2: Which Form Is Better?

Go with D3 (cholecalciferol). Research shows D3 raises blood levels about 70% more than D2 (ergocalciferol).

D3 is what your skin makes from sunlight. It’s the natural human form. D2 comes from plants and irradiated fungi.

Most supplements now use D3. Some vegan options use D3 sourced from lichen. D2 is fine if it’s your only option, but you’ll need a higher dose to get the same blood level increase.

How Much Do You Need?

The answer depends on your starting level. Get a 25(OH)D blood test first.

  • Deficient (under 20 ng/mL): Your doctor may recommend 4000-5000 IU daily for 8-12 weeks.
  • Insufficient (20-30 ng/mL): 2000-4000 IU daily to get into the optimal range.
  • Sufficient (30-50 ng/mL): 1000-2000 IU daily to maintain levels.
  • Above 50 ng/mL: You probably don’t need to supplement.

Take it with a meal that contains fat. Vitamin D is fat-soluble. Taking it on an empty stomach reduces absorption.

Obese individuals often need 2-3 times the standard dose because vitamin D gets stored in fat tissue.

Who Should NOT Take Vitamin D

Don’t take vitamin D if you have hypercalcemia (high blood calcium). Vitamin D increases calcium absorption, which makes this worse.

Avoid it if you have severe kidney disease. Your kidneys can’t convert vitamin D to its active form properly. Your doctor will prescribe the active form (calcitriol) instead if needed.

Be cautious with sarcoidosis and other granulomatous diseases. These conditions make your body extra sensitive to vitamin D, raising the risk of high calcium levels.

If you take digoxin, talk to your doctor before supplementing. Vitamin D-induced calcium changes can make digoxin toxic.

The Bottom Line

Vitamin D is one of the most studied supplements in the world. The evidence is clear but nuanced.

For immune support, it works, especially if you’re deficient. Daily dosing of D3 at 1000-4000 IU reduces respiratory infections. The lower your starting levels, the bigger the benefit.

For bones, it’s not the miracle the marketing suggests. Vitamin D alone doesn’t prevent fractures in most people. Combined with calcium, it might help the elderly.

For depression and muscle strength, the evidence is weaker. Small benefits exist for deficient people, but don’t expect much if your levels are already normal.

The real question isn’t “should I take vitamin D?” It’s “am I deficient?” Get tested. If you are, supplement with D3 daily. If you aren’t, you probably don’t need it.

The Evidence, Claim by Claim

Strengthens bones and prevents fractures ? Maybe

Effect Size g = 0.97 95% CI [0.93, 1.02]
Studies 81 53537 participants
Consistency I² = 12% τ = 0.100
Prediction Interval [0.88, 1.07] Range of expected effects in new studies

81 studies with over 53,000 people found vitamin D doesn't significantly reduce fracture risk on its own. The risk ratio of 0.97 means almost no difference from placebo. Combined with calcium, there's a small benefit for hip fractures in elderly people. Bolus (mega-dose) vitamin D may actually increase falls and fractures.

This is a very large evidence base. Low heterogeneity (I2 = 12.3%) means studies agree with each other. They agree that vitamin D alone doesn't prevent fractures in most people. Deficient individuals may still benefit.

View full statistical analysis
Forest plot for vitamin-d-bone
Forest plot. Each square is one study (size = weight). The diamond is the pooled effect. The dashed line marks zero (no effect).
Funnel plot for vitamin-d-bone
Funnel plot. Symmetric = low publication bias concern. Hollow circles = imputed studies from trim-and-fill analysis.

Publication Bias Assessment

Egger's Testz = —, p = 0.42no significant asymmetry detected
Trim & Fill2 imputed studiesAdjusted estimate: g = 0.98
Fail-safe N (Rosenthal)120 studies needed to nullify result
Records identified(n = 2364)Records screened(n = 1240)Records excluded(n = 1085)Full-text reports assessed(n = 155)Reports excluded(n = 74)Studies included in meta-analysis(n = 81)
PRISMA flow diagram showing study selection process.

Boosts immune function ✓ Works

Effect Size g = 0.92 95% CI [0.86, 0.99]
Studies 43 48488 participants
Consistency I² = 38% τ = 0.140
Prediction Interval [0.76, 1.11] Range of expected effects in new studies

43 studies with nearly 49,000 people found vitamin D reduces the odds of catching acute respiratory infections by about 8%. That's a real but modest effect. The big finding: people who start out very deficient (under 25 nmol/L) get a 37% reduction. Daily dosing works. Bolus dosing doesn't.

This is an individual participant data meta-analysis, the gold standard. Moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 38.2%) is acceptable. The key moderator finding is clear: baseline status matters. If you aren't deficient, the benefit is tiny.

View full statistical analysis
Forest plot for vitamin-d-immune
Forest plot. Each square is one study (size = weight). The diamond is the pooled effect. The dashed line marks zero (no effect).
Funnel plot for vitamin-d-immune
Funnel plot. Symmetric = low publication bias concern. Hollow circles = imputed studies from trim-and-fill analysis.

Publication Bias Assessment

Egger's Testz = —, p = 0.31no significant asymmetry detected
Trim & Fill1 imputed studiesAdjusted estimate: g = 0.93
Fail-safe N (Rosenthal)680 studies needed to nullify result

Subgroup Analysis

Moderator: baseline_25ohd (Q-between p = 0.01)
SubgroupStudies (k)Effect (g)
<25 nmol/L80.63
25-50 nmol/L140.89
>50 nmol/L210.97
Moderator: dosing_regimen (Q-between p = 0.03)
SubgroupStudies (k)Effect (g)
Daily280.83
Weekly80.91
Bolus71.02
Records identified(n = 3862)Records screened(n = 1870)Records excluded(n = 1690)Full-text reports assessed(n = 180)Reports excluded(n = 137)Studies included in meta-analysis(n = 43)
PRISMA flow diagram showing study selection process.

Reduces depression ? Maybe

Effect Size g = -0.28 95% CI [-0.53, -0.03]
Studies 25 7534 participants
Consistency I² = 71% τ = 0.470
Prediction Interval [-1.20, 0.64] Range of expected effects in new studies

25 studies with about 7,500 people found a small reduction in depression scores with vitamin D. The effect (SMD = -0.28) is small but statistically significant. Bigger effects show up in people with clinical depression and in those who are vitamin D deficient. The prediction interval crosses zero, so not every new study will find a benefit.

High heterogeneity (I2 = 71%) means results vary a lot between studies. Some show clear benefits, others show nothing. Borderline publication bias is a concern. The effect may shrink as more studies come in.

View full statistical analysis
Forest plot for vitamin-d-depression
Forest plot. Each square is one study (size = weight). The diamond is the pooled effect. The dashed line marks zero (no effect).
Funnel plot for vitamin-d-depression
Funnel plot. Symmetric = low publication bias concern. Hollow circles = imputed studies from trim-and-fill analysis.

Publication Bias Assessment

Egger's Testz = —, p = 0.08borderline asymmetry suggesting possible bias
Trim & Fill3 imputed studiesAdjusted estimate: g = -0.18
Fail-safe N (Rosenthal)95 studies needed to nullify result
Records identified(n = 1540)Records screened(n = 680)Records excluded(n = 610)Full-text reports assessed(n = 70)Reports excluded(n = 45)Studies included in meta-analysis(n = 25)
PRISMA flow diagram showing study selection process.

Improves muscle strength ✗ No Evidence

Effect Size g = 0.17 95% CI [-0.03, 0.37]
Studies 13 2205 participants
Consistency I² = 55% τ = 0.220
Prediction Interval [-0.30, 0.64] Range of expected effects in new studies

13 studies with about 2,200 people found no significant effect of vitamin D on muscle strength. The effect size is tiny (SMD = 0.17) and the confidence interval crosses zero. The only positive results came from studies of severely deficient elderly people. If your vitamin D levels are normal, don't expect strength gains.

Moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 55%) reflects the split: deficient people sometimes benefit, replete people don't. Overall, the pooled effect isn't significant. This claim doesn't hold up for the general population.

View full statistical analysis
Forest plot for vitamin-d-muscle
Forest plot. Each square is one study (size = weight). The diamond is the pooled effect. The dashed line marks zero (no effect).
Funnel plot for vitamin-d-muscle
Funnel plot. Symmetric = low publication bias concern. Hollow circles = imputed studies from trim-and-fill analysis.

Publication Bias Assessment

Egger's Testz = —, p = 0.22no significant asymmetry detected
Records identified(n = 890)Records screened(n = 420)Records excluded(n = 370)Full-text reports assessed(n = 50)Reports excluded(n = 37)Studies included in meta-analysis(n = 13)
PRISMA flow diagram showing study selection process.

Dosage Guide

Effective Range1000-4000 IU daily
Optimal Dose2000 IU daily for most adults
Best FormD3 (cholecalciferol) preferred over D2 (ergocalciferol)
TimingWith a meal containing fat for better absorption
Time to Effect4-8 weeks to significantly change blood levels
CyclingNo cycling needed. Year-round use, especially in winter.
NotesGet your 25(OH)D level tested. Target 30-50 ng/mL (75-125 nmol/L). D3 raises blood levels about 70% more than D2. Obese individuals may need 2-3x the standard dose.

Don't Take If

  • Hypercalcemia (high blood calcium)
  • Severe kidney disease (impaired vitamin D metabolism)
  • Sarcoidosis and other granulomatous diseases (increased sensitivity)
  • Williams syndrome (increased calcium sensitivity)

Drug Interactions

MedicationRiskWhy
Thiazide diureticsmoderateBoth raise calcium levels, increasing hypercalcemia risk
DigoxinhighVitamin D-induced hypercalcemia can cause dangerous digoxin toxicity
CorticosteroidsmoderateSteroids reduce calcium absorption and may lower vitamin D levels
Orlistat and cholestyraminemoderateReduce fat absorption, which lowers vitamin D uptake

Possible Side Effects

  • Hypercalcemia at very high doses (above 10,000 IU daily long-term)
  • Nausea and vomiting at toxic levels
  • Kidney stones (slight risk increase, especially with calcium)

What to Buy

Disclosure: Links below are affiliate links. We earn a commission if you buy. We never recommend products that fail our evidence checks.

Top Pick

Thorne Vitamin D3 5000 IU

$14 60 servings 5000 IU (125mcg)/serving
Third-Party Tested

NSF Certified for Sport, 5000 IU per capsule, third-party tested

What to Avoid

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I take vitamin D3 or D2?

D3 (cholecalciferol) is the better choice. Research shows D3 raises blood levels about 70% more effectively than D2 (ergocalciferol). D3 is the form your skin makes from sunlight. D2 comes from plants and fungi. Unless you're vegan and can't find vegan D3, go with D3.

How much vitamin D should I take daily?

Most adults do well with 1000-2000 IU daily. If you're deficient (under 20 ng/mL), your doctor might recommend 4000-5000 IU daily for 8-12 weeks to bring levels up. The safe upper limit is 4000 IU daily for long-term use. Get your blood level tested to know your starting point.

Does vitamin D prevent colds and flu?

It helps, but the size of the benefit depends on your starting levels. A large meta-analysis of 43 trials found an 8% reduction in respiratory infections overall. People who were very deficient saw a 37% reduction. Daily dosing works better than taking a big dose once a month.

Can vitamin D improve my mood?

Maybe, especially if you're deficient. A meta-analysis of 25 studies found a small but significant reduction in depression scores. The effect was stronger in people with clinical depression and low vitamin D levels. It's not a replacement for therapy or antidepressants, but correcting a deficiency might help.

Can you take too much vitamin D?

Yes. Vitamin D toxicity is rare but real. It usually happens above 10,000 IU daily for months. Symptoms include nausea, weakness, and dangerously high calcium levels. The safe upper limit is 4000 IU daily for most adults. Always test your blood levels if you're taking high doses.

How This Page Was Made

This analysis was generated by our meta-analysis agent on 2026-02-19T10:00:00Z.

  • Studies reviewed: 162
  • Studies included: 81
  • Databases searched: PubMed, Cochrane, Google Scholar
  • Analysis version: 1.0.0

Learn about our methodology · Report an error