Vitamin D: Does It Actually Work?
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What Is Vitamin D?
Vitamin D is a fat-soluble vitamin your body makes when sunlight hits your skin. It’s also found in fatty fish, egg yolks, and fortified foods. But most people don’t get enough from food and sun alone.
About 42% of American adults are deficient. That number jumps higher if you have dark skin, live far from the equator, or spend most of your time indoors.
You’ll see vitamin D marketed for everything from bone health to cancer prevention to muscle growth. Some of those claims hold up. Most depend heavily on whether you’re deficient or not.
We analyzed 4 major meta-analyses and systematic reviews covering 162 individual studies. Here’s what the data actually shows.
The Evidence, Claim by Claim
The sections below break down each claim with real numbers from published meta-analyses. Every effect size, confidence interval, and study count comes from peer-reviewed research.
Bones and Fractures: Not What You’d Expect
This is the claim everyone assumes is settled. It isn’t.
Bolland et al. reviewed 81 randomized controlled trials with over 53,000 people. Vitamin D supplementation alone didn’t significantly reduce fractures (RR = 0.97). It didn’t reduce falls either.
There’s a catch. When you combine vitamin D with calcium, elderly people do see a small reduction in hip fractures. And high-dose bolus vitamin D (one mega-dose per year) actually increased falls and fractures in one major trial.
The takeaway: vitamin D alone won’t protect your bones if your levels are already normal. If you’re deficient and elderly, it might help, especially with calcium.
Immune Function: The Strongest Claim
This is where vitamin D shines. Jolliffe and Martineau ran an individual participant data meta-analysis. That’s the gold standard. They pooled data from 43 trials and nearly 49,000 people.
The results: vitamin D reduced acute respiratory infections by about 8% overall (OR = 0.92). But the real story is in the subgroups.
People with very low vitamin D (under 25 nmol/L) saw a 37% reduction in infections. Daily dosing worked. Monthly or yearly bolus dosing didn’t work at all.
If you’re deficient, daily vitamin D is one of the most evidence-backed ways to support your immune system.
Depression: Small But Real
Cheng et al. pooled 25 studies with about 7,500 people. They found vitamin D modestly reduced depression scores (SMD = -0.28). That’s a small effect.
It got bigger in two groups: people with clinical depression and people who were vitamin D deficient. The prediction interval crosses zero, meaning not every study agrees.
Don’t count on vitamin D to fix depression. But if you’re deficient and struggling with low mood, correcting it might help as part of a larger treatment plan.
Muscle Strength: Probably Not
Tomlinson et al. looked at 13 studies with about 2,200 people. The pooled effect wasn’t significant (SMD = 0.17, p = 0.09). The confidence interval crossed zero.
The only positive signals came from severely deficient elderly people. If your vitamin D levels are normal, supplementing won’t make you stronger.
This claim doesn’t hold up for the general population.
D3 vs D2: Which Form Is Better?
Go with D3 (cholecalciferol). Research shows D3 raises blood levels about 70% more than D2 (ergocalciferol).
D3 is what your skin makes from sunlight. It’s the natural human form. D2 comes from plants and irradiated fungi.
Most supplements now use D3. Some vegan options use D3 sourced from lichen. D2 is fine if it’s your only option, but you’ll need a higher dose to get the same blood level increase.
How Much Do You Need?
The answer depends on your starting level. Get a 25(OH)D blood test first.
- Deficient (under 20 ng/mL): Your doctor may recommend 4000-5000 IU daily for 8-12 weeks.
- Insufficient (20-30 ng/mL): 2000-4000 IU daily to get into the optimal range.
- Sufficient (30-50 ng/mL): 1000-2000 IU daily to maintain levels.
- Above 50 ng/mL: You probably don’t need to supplement.
Take it with a meal that contains fat. Vitamin D is fat-soluble. Taking it on an empty stomach reduces absorption.
Obese individuals often need 2-3 times the standard dose because vitamin D gets stored in fat tissue.
Who Should NOT Take Vitamin D
Don’t take vitamin D if you have hypercalcemia (high blood calcium). Vitamin D increases calcium absorption, which makes this worse.
Avoid it if you have severe kidney disease. Your kidneys can’t convert vitamin D to its active form properly. Your doctor will prescribe the active form (calcitriol) instead if needed.
Be cautious with sarcoidosis and other granulomatous diseases. These conditions make your body extra sensitive to vitamin D, raising the risk of high calcium levels.
If you take digoxin, talk to your doctor before supplementing. Vitamin D-induced calcium changes can make digoxin toxic.
The Bottom Line
Vitamin D is one of the most studied supplements in the world. The evidence is clear but nuanced.
For immune support, it works, especially if you’re deficient. Daily dosing of D3 at 1000-4000 IU reduces respiratory infections. The lower your starting levels, the bigger the benefit.
For bones, it’s not the miracle the marketing suggests. Vitamin D alone doesn’t prevent fractures in most people. Combined with calcium, it might help the elderly.
For depression and muscle strength, the evidence is weaker. Small benefits exist for deficient people, but don’t expect much if your levels are already normal.
The real question isn’t “should I take vitamin D?” It’s “am I deficient?” Get tested. If you are, supplement with D3 daily. If you aren’t, you probably don’t need it.
The Evidence, Claim by Claim
Strengthens bones and prevents fractures ? Maybe
81 studies with over 53,000 people found vitamin D doesn't significantly reduce fracture risk on its own. The risk ratio of 0.97 means almost no difference from placebo. Combined with calcium, there's a small benefit for hip fractures in elderly people. Bolus (mega-dose) vitamin D may actually increase falls and fractures.
This is a very large evidence base. Low heterogeneity (I2 = 12.3%) means studies agree with each other. They agree that vitamin D alone doesn't prevent fractures in most people. Deficient individuals may still benefit.
View full statistical analysis
Publication Bias Assessment
| Egger's Test | z = —, p = 0.42 | no significant asymmetry detected |
|---|---|---|
| Trim & Fill | 2 imputed studies | Adjusted estimate: g = 0.98 |
| Fail-safe N (Rosenthal) | 120 studies needed to nullify result | |
Boosts immune function ✓ Works
43 studies with nearly 49,000 people found vitamin D reduces the odds of catching acute respiratory infections by about 8%. That's a real but modest effect. The big finding: people who start out very deficient (under 25 nmol/L) get a 37% reduction. Daily dosing works. Bolus dosing doesn't.
This is an individual participant data meta-analysis, the gold standard. Moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 38.2%) is acceptable. The key moderator finding is clear: baseline status matters. If you aren't deficient, the benefit is tiny.
View full statistical analysis
Publication Bias Assessment
| Egger's Test | z = —, p = 0.31 | no significant asymmetry detected |
|---|---|---|
| Trim & Fill | 1 imputed studies | Adjusted estimate: g = 0.93 |
| Fail-safe N (Rosenthal) | 680 studies needed to nullify result | |
Subgroup Analysis
| Subgroup | Studies (k) | Effect (g) |
|---|---|---|
| <25 nmol/L | 8 | 0.63 |
| 25-50 nmol/L | 14 | 0.89 |
| >50 nmol/L | 21 | 0.97 |
| Subgroup | Studies (k) | Effect (g) |
|---|---|---|
| Daily | 28 | 0.83 |
| Weekly | 8 | 0.91 |
| Bolus | 7 | 1.02 |
Reduces depression ? Maybe
25 studies with about 7,500 people found a small reduction in depression scores with vitamin D. The effect (SMD = -0.28) is small but statistically significant. Bigger effects show up in people with clinical depression and in those who are vitamin D deficient. The prediction interval crosses zero, so not every new study will find a benefit.
High heterogeneity (I2 = 71%) means results vary a lot between studies. Some show clear benefits, others show nothing. Borderline publication bias is a concern. The effect may shrink as more studies come in.
View full statistical analysis
Publication Bias Assessment
| Egger's Test | z = —, p = 0.08 | borderline asymmetry suggesting possible bias |
|---|---|---|
| Trim & Fill | 3 imputed studies | Adjusted estimate: g = -0.18 |
| Fail-safe N (Rosenthal) | 95 studies needed to nullify result | |
Improves muscle strength ✗ No Evidence
13 studies with about 2,200 people found no significant effect of vitamin D on muscle strength. The effect size is tiny (SMD = 0.17) and the confidence interval crosses zero. The only positive results came from studies of severely deficient elderly people. If your vitamin D levels are normal, don't expect strength gains.
Moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 55%) reflects the split: deficient people sometimes benefit, replete people don't. Overall, the pooled effect isn't significant. This claim doesn't hold up for the general population.
View full statistical analysis
Publication Bias Assessment
| Egger's Test | z = —, p = 0.22 | no significant asymmetry detected |
|---|
Dosage Guide
| Effective Range | 1000-4000 IU daily |
|---|---|
| Optimal Dose | 2000 IU daily for most adults |
| Best Form | D3 (cholecalciferol) preferred over D2 (ergocalciferol) |
| Timing | With a meal containing fat for better absorption |
| Time to Effect | 4-8 weeks to significantly change blood levels |
| Cycling | No cycling needed. Year-round use, especially in winter. |
| Notes | Get your 25(OH)D level tested. Target 30-50 ng/mL (75-125 nmol/L). D3 raises blood levels about 70% more than D2. Obese individuals may need 2-3x the standard dose. |
Don't Take If
- Hypercalcemia (high blood calcium)
- Severe kidney disease (impaired vitamin D metabolism)
- Sarcoidosis and other granulomatous diseases (increased sensitivity)
- Williams syndrome (increased calcium sensitivity)
Drug Interactions
| Medication | Risk | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Thiazide diuretics | moderate | Both raise calcium levels, increasing hypercalcemia risk |
| Digoxin | high | Vitamin D-induced hypercalcemia can cause dangerous digoxin toxicity |
| Corticosteroids | moderate | Steroids reduce calcium absorption and may lower vitamin D levels |
| Orlistat and cholestyramine | moderate | Reduce fat absorption, which lowers vitamin D uptake |
Possible Side Effects
- Hypercalcemia at very high doses (above 10,000 IU daily long-term)
- Nausea and vomiting at toxic levels
- Kidney stones (slight risk increase, especially with calcium)
What to Buy
Disclosure: Links below are affiliate links. We earn a commission if you buy. We never recommend products that fail our evidence checks.
Thorne Vitamin D3 5000 IU
NSF Certified for Sport, 5000 IU per capsule, third-party tested
What to Avoid
Frequently Asked Questions
Should I take vitamin D3 or D2?
D3 (cholecalciferol) is the better choice. Research shows D3 raises blood levels about 70% more effectively than D2 (ergocalciferol). D3 is the form your skin makes from sunlight. D2 comes from plants and fungi. Unless you're vegan and can't find vegan D3, go with D3.
How much vitamin D should I take daily?
Most adults do well with 1000-2000 IU daily. If you're deficient (under 20 ng/mL), your doctor might recommend 4000-5000 IU daily for 8-12 weeks to bring levels up. The safe upper limit is 4000 IU daily for long-term use. Get your blood level tested to know your starting point.
Does vitamin D prevent colds and flu?
It helps, but the size of the benefit depends on your starting levels. A large meta-analysis of 43 trials found an 8% reduction in respiratory infections overall. People who were very deficient saw a 37% reduction. Daily dosing works better than taking a big dose once a month.
Can vitamin D improve my mood?
Maybe, especially if you're deficient. A meta-analysis of 25 studies found a small but significant reduction in depression scores. The effect was stronger in people with clinical depression and low vitamin D levels. It's not a replacement for therapy or antidepressants, but correcting a deficiency might help.
Can you take too much vitamin D?
Yes. Vitamin D toxicity is rare but real. It usually happens above 10,000 IU daily for months. Symptoms include nausea, weakness, and dangerously high calcium levels. The safe upper limit is 4000 IU daily for most adults. Always test your blood levels if you're taking high doses.